Friday, May 09, 2008
Whatever You Do, Don't Mention the Jihad! [Mark Krikorian]
I'm a little late commenting on this, but it's interesting that the government's gag rule on uttering the words "jihad" or "Islamist" or "Salafi" seems to have been overseen by Linda Chavez's former employee, Dan Sutherland, now head of homeland security's Office for Civil Rights and Civil Liberties (see halfway down this story from yesterday). Steve Emerson posted the actual documents here. This is what DHS's Under Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis said in a speech this week: The lead within the Department rests with its Office of Civil Rights and Civil Liberties, which has reached out extensively to Muslim leaders and organizations. Led by Dan Sutherland, who is well known for his work in this area, his Office has held numerous meetings and round tables with Muslim leaders throughout the country.
(You know, just like all those meetings and round tables the Justice Department must have had with the German American Bund in 1940.) Sutherland has been described as "a wonderful breath of fresh air from Homeland Security" by Kareem Shora, legal policy director of the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee, Jim Zogby's old outfit. I think there's a parallel here with Linda's recent activities -- just as she has attempted to curtail speech on the immigration issue out of fear of offending Hispanic organizations (La Raza has expanded on her effort here), Sutherland is working to curtail speech on the threat of radical Islam, so as not to offend Muslim organizations. The common point here is not the specific connection between mass immigration and the Islamic challenge (which is much closer in Europe in any case), but rather that the same loss of self-belief, the same fear of self-assertion, the same PC paralysis plays out in both policy areas, and is an important part of the problem in successfully responding to both challenges. Both are examples of what Diana West's column today calls the "Oslo Syndrome," where a people under siege come to identify with its opponents. Posted at 10:25 AM
Tom's Brain [John Derbyshire]
Yesterday's Peter Robinson / Tom Wolfe discussion has some interesting overlap with my report on the Tucson consciousness conference in the current print edition of NR (or at greater length but less coherently here). Again, I think Tom is shaky on the science. "Our evolution came to an end when we developed speech?" Huh? What brought it to an end? Not only is there no known process to stop it, not only is there clear evidence that our evolution has continued down to the present day, some geneticists have recently argued that it is actually accelerating. And "language is an artifact … a human construct"? What, with no biological substratum? I'd like to see Tom argue that point with Steven Pinker. And I never understand what people mean by "we are not machines." (Though that was Peter, not Tom.) I think what they mean is that we are machines, but that there has to be a ghost in the machine to make it work. Well, that's what Apaches thought about the locomotive. The Apaches were wrong. Our own ghost-in-the-machine speculators may not be: it's an open question. "Open" means we don't know. To pretend that we know is presumptuous. And given the simply terrible historical record of "ghost" explanations for observed phenomena — earthquakes, eclipses, illness, and everything else under the Sun, and indeed for the Sun itself — "ghost" explanations are probably not the way to bet. Again, Tom agrees with Peter that "the human mind explains status" … then goes on to mention status among social animals! Status rankings are all around in the higher animals. It's natural that once humans acquired speech, they incorporated it into their status-achieving toolbox. This doesn't tell us anything about human particularism. Other questionable remarks, too: It wasn't 19th-century psychologists who doubted the ghost in the machine, the idea goes back at least as far as Hobbes. Someone better versed in philosophy than I am could probably trace it to the Ancients. "Nowadays it [models of brain function] is all computers." If Tom can find a neuroscientist who agrees with that, I'll buy them both dinner at Shun Lee. (If he can find me one who believes in the ghost in the machine, same deal.) None of this matters much. Great novelists don't come along often, and we should cut them pretty near as much slack as they want. I shall be first on line for Tom's next book. I hope he won't mind my saying, though, that he needs to get up to date on his mind science. It's not really hard work, there are lots of good popularizers out there: Pinker of course, and John Horgan for starters. Tom's next book will be a fun read in any case, but a tad more fun if he gets the science right. Oh (going back to one of the earlier segments). it's not the case that Darwin would be forgotten if he hadn't written Origin. The earlier (by 20 years) Voyage of the Beagle was a bestseller. Just for that, he'd be remembered as a minor early-Victorian travel writer and naturalist. Posted at 9:50 AM
Elections Matter [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
In his interview with NRO, Romney also addressed the pope’s recent visit to the White House. He said, “I appreciate the fact that we have a president who acknowledges the role of faith in America and is not embarrassed or shy about showing our appreciation for religion. We have a long history as a nation of revering those who serve our Creator, so I was delighted that the pope came, and delighted that the president received him in the way he did. I can imagine that there would be other presidents for whom such a meeting would have been very uncomfortable indeed.” Posted at 9:49 AM
Tom Wolfe, Patriot [Peter Robinson]
In this fifth and final segment of the Uncommon Knowledge interview with Tom Wolfe, I pose a question on the minds of millions of Americans—see, just for instance, the current cover of Newsweek, which shows the back of the Statue of Liberty, as if the viewer were pulling away fom Lady Liberty as fast as he possibly could, under the headline, “The Post-American World: What role will the U.S. play as China and Russia rise?” ME: Henry Luce famously called the twentieth century “the American century.” Will the twenty-first century represent a second American century? TOM WOLFE: I believe we’re on the edge of about 800 more years of American centuries. The biggest problem is all the people who see a problem. It’s very fashionable to think that the end is near.
Eight hundred more years. At that moment, I confess, I could have leaned over and planted a big wet smacker right in the middle of Tom Wolfe’s forehead, white suit or no.
Tom Wolfe, journalist, author—and patriot.
Posted at 9:13 AM
What If Wright Were Mormon? [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
In an interview with NRO this week, Mitt Romney had no problem distinguishing “the Mormon Factor” in respect to him during the Republican primary campaign with Barack Obama’s Jeremiah Wright problem. He expressed his frustration to me that “the Wright Factor” is often “referred to as a religious issue and I didn’t see it as a religious issue. I saw it as a matter relating to his sentiments about the country. His comments were not about religion, they were about America and to me they were very offensive.” Posted at 8:48 AM
It Would Have Won Him the Election! [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
Ah, freedom. I don't know if this would work on everyone, but it went over well last night. Speaking to a Becket Fund dinner last night in Manhattan, Mitt Romney pointed out that he's (breaking news!) a member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, a group that doesn't go for drinking, caffeine, sex before marriage ... He said: they say that makes you live longer. I think it just makes it feel like you're living longer. I write about the speech -- in which he considered the criticisms of his December speech on religion in America (one that he's enthusiastically grateful he was able to give) -- here. Posted at 8:33 AM
Let There Be Rock [John J. Miller]
Sorry K Lo, but the rest of us will be at the Drive-By Truckers show in DC tonight. Posted at 8:25 AM
Pious Amorality [Victor Davis Hanson]
In what I think was a rephrensible one-sided Jimmy Carter article in the Guardian condemning Israel for the conditions in Gaza, I was struck by these two sentences: It is one thing for other leaders to defer to the U.S. in the crucial peace negotiations, but the world must not stand idle while innocent people are treated cruelly. It is time for strong voices in Europe, the US, Israel and elsewhere to speak out and condemn the human rights tragedy that has befallen the Palestinian people.
An ex-President of the United States seems to be saying that the "strong voices" of the world should oppose the lead of his own country in pursuing a long bipartisan policy of peace negotiations. This reminds one of Carter's harsh criticism of his own country prior to the 2002 Nobel Prize deliberations, in which even one of the judges acknowledged that the award was happy payback for his antiwar stance -- reminsicent of his earlier letter to the Security Council to try to stymie the first George Bush's efforts to isolate Saddam Hussein and get him out of Kuwait. It is hard to think of any ex-President in our history who has written and done so much to counter the official policies of his own country abroad. Of all the countries one could blame for human rights violations -- Iran, Syria, the Palestinians and Hamas, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Cuba, Libya, etc. -- why would he single out the only liberal democracy in the Middle East? Posted at 8:06 AM
Looking for Plans Tonight? [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
If you're in or around D.C., here you are. See you there. Posted at 8:05 AM
About that Hamas Quote [Victor Davis Hanson]
One of the strange things that struck me about the following much discussed quote is the sheer arrogance of Hamas: During an interview on WABC radio Sunday, top Hamas political adviser Ahmed Yousef said the terrorist group supports Obama’s foreign policy vision. “We don’t mind – actually we like Mr. Obama. We hope he will [win] the election and I do believe he is like John Kennedy, great man with great principle, and he has a vision to change America to make it in a position to lead the world community but not with domination and arrogance,” Yousef said in response to a question about the group’s willingness to meet with either of the Democratic presidential candidates.
So we are to believe that John Kennedy was to Palestinian terrorists—a "great man with great principle"? If so, why then did Palestinian terrorist Sirhan Sirhan murder his brother Robert, and for years became a cult figure on the West Bank and Gaza for it?
Posted at 7:59 AM
This Can't Be Right [Mark R. Levin]
It has been a long time since I've read such a screwed up piece of writing like this. Does David Brooks understand conservatism? Has he read anything written by Edmund Burke, Adam Smith, and scores of others whose thinking and writings have made the case for the civilized society? Conservatives are a much more sophisticated lot than Brooks gives them credit for. Conservatism isn't only about individualism, although it is rightly a critical element of ordered liberty. But it isn't about "creating 4,200 more health visitors," either. Brooks wants conservatives to mimic the ways of the Tory, the latter having made significant recent gains in British local elections. In other words, he looks to Europe much the same way the American Left does, although he may no doubt argue he looks there for a different direction than socialism.
And what is that direction? What is the government-centered society Brooks, et al, seek to establish in place of the civilized society? Why does he not learn from history, i.e., that centralized government breeds tyranny in various forms? And what of the Constitution's limits on his brand of "conservatism?" I guess I'll have to wait for his book, which no doubt is coming. But didn't Kevin Phillips already write it?
Posted at 7:19 AM
Got MLK? [John J. Miller]
Wash Post: A powerful federal arts commission is urging that the sculpture of Martin Luther King Jr. proposed for a memorial on the Tidal Basin be reworked because it is too "confrontational" and reminiscent of political art in totalitarian states. The U.S. Commission of Fine Arts thinks "the colossal scale and Social Realist style of the proposed statue recalls a genre of political sculpture that has recently been pulled down in other countries," commission secretary Thomas Luebke said in a letter in April.
Posted at 5:27 AM
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Pats on the Back [Peter Robinson]
Proof that the readers of this happy Corner are not merely thoroughly informed and right-thinking, but very, very kind:The Wolfe interview is fascinating - answers *and* questions. Though I do find it a bit painful, or perhaps sad is better, when I hear someone I admire and whose intellect I respect admit to disbelief in God. Belief seems to me to be the only logical answer remaining (per the Holmesian syllogism). Apparently faith is truly a gift.
Of course I still enjoy reading Derb, too. So I carry on. Me: Precisely the right approach. Yesterday, when Wolfe mentioned the 7 or 8 thousand, ahem, "moments" happening at any given second, you said you were "smiling" but didn't want to because you didn't want your children to see you smiling at such a remark. [Tom was arguing, impishly, that, thanks to Dr. Freud, there is a great deal more--how shall we put this?--physical intimacy taking place at any given moment than would otherwise have been the case.]
You may have been suppressing a smile, Mr. Robinson. But you were also blushing. I have a husband--naval officer, owns several fire arms, e.g. a very macho type of guy--who would have the same reaction, and who would also think of his children's seeing that reaction in like circumstances. And I thought, "I'm glad my children have a Dad who would blush." So, good for your kids, too. Me: [Blushing, as, too embarrassed to think of any response, moves on to...] I've especially enjoyed the last few interviews you've done and the Tom Wolfe piece is fascinating. As I watched today I thought about how this is what is going to replace TV eventually and how enjoyable it was to be able to view at my own time and place. What a great way for the quality of your work to shine through. Do you ever put all the pieces together to watch uninterrupted? Me: We do indeed. During the first week, as you know, we roll out each interview in five parts, one part to a day, Monday through Friday. But beginning with the second week, each interview is available in total, and, to watch it uninterrupted, you need only navigate to the Uncommon Knowledge archives on the Hoover Institution website. Thank you for your interview (for the first four parts, at any rate, and looking forward to the fifth) with the author of A Man In Full and I Am Charlotte Simmons. I deeply love both those books, and this is the first interview I’ve seen (sheltered life and all that) with the author. What a pleasure to see him and hear him. Could you somehow post your prior interview with him, I think from 10 years ago per your remarks?
Me: With pleasure. That show, along with the couple of hundred others I've shot over the years, resides (as see my comments above) in the Uncommon Knowledge archives. You'll find it right here. Posted at 10:13 PM
Obama & Hamas: McCain Camp Responds [Andy McCarthy]
And an excellent, spirited response it is, from Mark Salter: First, let us be clear about the nature of Senator Obama's attack today: He used the words 'losing his bearings' intentionally, a not particularly clever way of raising John McCain's age as an issue. This is typical of the Obama style of campaigning.
We have all become familiar with Senator Obama's new brand of politics. First, you demand civility from your opponent, then you attack him, distort his record and send out surrogates to question his integrity. It is called hypocrisy, and it is the oldest kind of politics there is.
It is important to focus on what Senator Obama is attempting to do here: He is trying desperately to delegitimize the discussion of issues that raise legitimate questions about his judgment and preparedness to be President of the United States.
Through their actions and words, Senator Obama and his supporters have made clear that ANY criticism on ANY issue -- from his desire to raise taxes on millions of small investors to his radical plans to sit down face-to-face with Iranian President Ahmadinejad – constitute negative, personal attacks.
Senator Obama is hopeful that the media will continue to form a protective barrier around him, declaring serious limits to the questions, discussion and debate in this race.
Senator Obama has good reason to think this plan will succeed, as serious journalists have written of the need for 'de-tox' to cure 'swooning' over Senator Obama, and others have admitted to losing their objectivity while with him on the campaign trail.
Today, Senator Obama is complaining about comments John McCain made about a senior Hamas advisor stating that Hamas would welcome Senator Obama's election as president. Indeed, on April 13th, senior Hamas political advisor Ahmed Yousef said, 'We don't mind – actually we like Mr. Obama. We hope he will (win) the election and I do believe he is like John Kennedy, great man with great principle, and he has a vision to change America to make it in a position to lead the world community but not with domination and arrogance.'
The McCain campaign has never suggested that Senator Obama supports Hamas' agenda, but it is more than fair to raise this quote about Senator Obama because it speaks to the policy implications of his judgment.
Just today, the president of Iran, whom Senator Obama wants to meet with unconditionally, called the state of Israel a 'stinking corpse.' Iran is the paymaster and state sponsor of Hamas.
In his victory speech this week, Senator Obama stated that 'wisdom' is meeting with our enemies, including Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, North Korea's Kim Jong Il, Venezuela's Hugo Chavez and Cuba's Raul Castro. John McCain couldn't disagree more. Rather than giving tyrants and dictators the prestige of meeting with an American president, John McCain will instead meet with the champions of human freedom around the world and opposition leaders fighting for liberty .
We understand why Senator Obama doesn't want to engage in a debate over leadership and judgment with John McCain, but the American people demand that debate take place.
These are serious times that call for a serious debate on the profound issues facing our future. John McCain is ready for that debate and we hope Senator Obama will one day get serious and join it.
Posted at 6:33 PM
Hamas & Obama: Apparently, It's Only a Smear if McCain Says It [Andy McCarthy]
At Contentions, Jen Rubin reports that Barack Obama, the King of Righteous Indignation, is righteously (actually, risibly) indignant over a "smear" by John McCain -- namely, McCain's factually true (and totally understandable) observation that Hamas wants Obama to be president. Remarkable. On the plane ride here to Chicago, I caught up with our Mark Hemingway's superb article, "A Curious Kind of Friendship -- Barack Obama's dubious record on Israel," in the current print edition of NR. There are gems throughout the piece, but Mark starts out discussing the Hamas endorsement: When asked about the endorsement, Obama's chief strategist, David Axelrod, was flattered that Hamas compared his candidate to JFK: "We all agree that John Kennedy was a great president, and it's flattering when anybody says that Barack Obama would follow in his footsteps." So what is "flattering" to Obama when Obama's top spokesman addresses it becomes a "smear" of Obama when McCain does? This is of a piece with the whole kerfuffle over Obama's middle name. Remember how that became a smear, too? Except, as I noted here a while back (thanks to a Bret Stephens WSJ column), the first person to make a point of using "Barack Hussein Obama" turned out to be Barack Hussein Obama. ("Well, I think if you've got a guy named Barack Hussein Obama, that's a pretty good contrast to George W. Bush," Mr. Obama told PBS's Tavis Smiley on October 18, 2007. "If you believe that we've got to heal America and we've got to repair our standing in the world, then I think my supporters believe that I am the messenger who can deliver that message.") So, Obama wants to be able to appeal to the Islamic world, which is rife with jihadists, by holding out the likelihood (i.e., the certainty) that he would be more understanding and accommodating (which is to say more prone to appeasement) than any GOP rival, but we are supposed to say nothing about the fact that this is naturally alluring to jihadists (as the jihadists themselves are pointing out)? I hope Sen. McCain does not decide that this, like the patently relevant Wright matter, is somehow beneath his dignity to discuss. Posted at 6:05 PM
Pride Goeth Before a Fall [Peter Robinson]
After posting praise for my interview with Tom Wolfe, below, I suppose I had this coming: A reader notes that in a post I put up yesterday I got my dates wrong. Here's what I said: "[The Reagan economic] program," Jim Manzi writes, "was focused on two things: sound money and deregulation...." It was also focused, with considerable intensity, on a third thing: cuts in personal income tax rates. Reagan himself insisted on this. In 1983, as the recession deepened and the deficit began growing, Jim Baker, Dick Darman, David Stockman and others persuaded Reagan to raise certain taxes, in effect taking back part of his 1982 tax cuts. But on personal rates, Reagan just wouldn't budge. (When Arthur Burns pestered him, Reagan famously replied, "Arthur, never mention a tax hike in my presence again.")
And here are the reader's comments: Shouldn't the year of the first Reagan tax cut be 1981 (although they actually didn't go into effect until 1982)? Were they not signed at the little round table in the patio at Rancho del Cielo, maybe shortly after he was shot? This is important to me because my biggest disagreement with the entire eight years was the TEFRA tax increase, agreed to in August 1982, where Reagan's diaries show he actually supported more than the "let Reagan be Reagan" supporters (and I) ever realized.... But cutting marginal income tax rates, and the incentive that produces, absolutely was a major component of economic recovery and growth. The reader is right and I am wrong. When I wrote "1983" I should have written "1982," and where I wrote "1982" I should have written "1983." If there's anyone out there who'd like to send me a fresh note of praise about that Tom Wolfe interview, well, don't hold back. I'd really much rather end the day with a pat on the back. Posted at 5:47 PM
Wait for the Fourth Quarter [Ramesh Ponnuru]
Daniel Casse: "Republicans need to gird themselves for a long summer of horrendous polls and deepening despair. Obama will keep putting points on the board through early September. It will look hopeless. Until the fourth quarter." Posted at 5:08 PM
Mark Penn, Super Genius [Mark Hemingway]
There's been a lot of talk about how Hillary Clinton is irreversibly down in the delegate count because she did a terrible job of organizing in caucus states and otherwise having a coherent delegate strategy. Well, this article in Time goes a long way toward explaining why her campaign couldn't get its act together. As it turns out, Mark Penn -- her chief campaign strategist -- is an ignoramus: Clinton picked people for her team primarily for their loyalty to her, instead of their mastery of the game. That became abundantly clear in a strategy session last year, according to two people who were there. As aides looked over the campaign calendar, chief strategist Mark Penn confidently predicted that an early win in California would put her over the top because she would pick up all the state's 370 delegates. It sounded smart, but as every high school civics student now knows, Penn was wrong: Democrats, unlike the Republicans, apportion their delegates according to vote totals, rather than allowing any state to award them winner-take-all. Sitting nearby, veteran Democratic insider Harold M. Ickes, who had helped write those rules, was horrified — and let Penn know it. "How can it possibly be," Ickes asked, "that the much vaunted chief strategist doesn't understand proportional allocation?" And yet the strategy remained the same, with the campaign making its bet on big-state victories.
It's also notable that when embarassing recriminations like this start making their way to the press, it's pretty much the surest sign your campaign is over. Posted at 5:00 PM
Wolfe Wows 'Em [Peter Robinson]
The praise here is directed overwhelmingly where it belongs--which is to say, towards Tom Wolfe--but I cannot deny that a little is directed towards yours truly. Anyway, I couldn't resist. From a reader: Dear Mr. Robinson, All of your interviews have been first-rate, but Tom Wolfe's has simply blown me away. I love the guy and your interview is a classic. Today...today, was astonishing. He knowledge of current brain studies coupled with his deft understanding of human nature leads him to expound (unfortunately) briefly on many interesting points today. I am saddened that it will end tomorrow.... Again, a fabulous interview with a fabulous person.
See the fabulous interview with a fabulous person for yourself. Posted at 4:49 PM
Yogi Berra With Bedroom Eyes [Mark Hemingway]
I've had my fun plumbing the depths of supermodel intellect, but Exurban League wants to get in on the action: According to [Cindy] Crawford and the “Thirsty for Change” Web site, Americans use 50 billion water bottles a year.
“Fifty billion in America and only 50 percent are recycled,” Crawford said. “So that’s like 38 billion that aren’t recycled.”
Let's see... 50 Billion x 50% = 25 Billion, subtract the loss factor, add in the safety margin, carry the missing supermodel brain cells... yep, 38 billion! And it gets even more cringe inducing... Posted at 4:25 PM
Evidence, Ideology, and School Choice [Ramesh Ponnuru]
The debate on the Right continues. (via Cato-at-liberty.) Posted at 4:14 PM
Senator Grassley's Crusade [Ramesh Ponnuru]
Feddie is asking questions. Posted at 4:06 PM
The Democratic Unity Ticket [Ramesh Ponnuru]
Alan Wolfe argues for it on the premise that " these are the two most talented politicians the Democrats have." That's half-right. Obama is a talented politician. Clinton isn't. She may have the second-biggest following of any Democrat, but she is not more talented than Mark Warner or even John Edwards. I spent most of the last three years thinking that she would be the Democratic nominee, but I never thought she would win it on talent. Ed Kilgore makes a stronger case for the ticket. But I'm not convinced. It seems to me that there are other Democrats who could help Obama with most of the demographic groups that are going for her, without her drawbacks. (I can think of at least two just in Virginia.) Interesting, though, that Kilgore seems to be worried about the Clintons' potential to make trouble for a ticket in which they aren't invested. Posted at 3:58 PM
Ahmadinejad: "Israel a stinking corpse...." [Michael Rubin]
According to AFP and the Jerusalem Post, Ahmadinejad has declared that "Israel is a stinking corpse" on its way to "annihilation." Of course, University of Michigan professor Juan Cole will translate this tomorrow as "Israel will produce excellent top soil and is on its way to rebirth."
Posted at 3:20 PM
Re: McCain's Primary Shortfalls [Mark R. Levin]
I can speak to Pennsylvania, as I was active in the Reagan campaign in Pennsylvania during the 1980 primary fight between Reagan and Bush. The state party was firmly behind Bush, although it did not formally endorse him, and the battle was fierce. I don't recall whether Reagan had locked up the nomination or not, but the historical comparison implied by the earlier post seems way off. Posted at 3:08 PM
Only 30 Signatures to Go! [Mark Krikorian]
The consensus is that no immigration legislation will make progress during the remainder of this Congress, and that may be true. But if anything will move, it's Heath Shuler's SAVE Act, phasing in mandatory electronic verification of new hires' legal status. It just got one step closer with Rep. Mark Souder becoming the 188th member to sign a discharge petition, which would force leadership to bring it up for a floor vote; it needs the signatures of a majority of House members (i.e., 218) to succeed, so there are 30 signatures to go. The list of those who've signed the discharge petition is here, the list of those who haven't is here, and a detailed analysis of the bill is here (pdf). Posted at 3:06 PM
On Eggheads [James S. Robbins]
I caught a fascinating echo of the 1952 campaign today. Paul Begala, a Clinton supporter promoting the line that Senator Obama's electoral base is too narrow to sustain a winning general election campaign, stated that Democrats could not win in November with just "eggheads and African-Americans." The term "egghead" in this negative context entered the political lexicon during the 1952 presidential campaign of another Illinois politician, Adlai Stevenson, who was also seen as appealing to a too-select, too-intellectually-inclined slice of the electorate, and unable to energize the working class. It was applied to Stevenson supporters in September 1952, in a column by Stewart Alsop. After hearing a particularly cerebral Stevenson speech on atomic energy in Hartford Connecticut, Alsop mentioned to "a rising young Connecticut Republican" (later identified as his brother John) that "a good many intelligent people who would be considered normally Republican, obviously admired Stevenson." "Sure," John replied, "all the eggheads love Stevenson. But how many eggheads do you think there are?" Stevenson lost the race to war hero Dwight Eisenhower 55 percent to 44 percent. During the 1956 campaign, a replay of the 1952 match-up, a woman called out to him at an event, "You have the vote of every thinking person!" Stevenson called back, "That's not enough, madam, we need a majority!" Stevenson lost that round to Ike 57 percent to 42 percent.
It is also worth noting also that in 1908 Carl Sandburg stated that "egghead" was Midwestern slang for "editorial writers," which, while apt, is certainly not the constituency to whom Mr. Begala was referring. Posted at 3:02 PM
‘This Inflation Speed-Up Must Be Taken Seriously’ [Larry Kudlow]
U.S. economist John Lipsky, who is the first deputy managing director of the IMF, is giving a speech today before the Council on Foreign Relations in New York that warns of the spread of global inflation. Lipsky says, “This inflation speed-up must be taken seriously, as it creates potentially significant challenges to economic stability that could undermine prospects for restoring the combination of solid growth and low inflation that prevailed earlier in this decade.” He goes on to say, “To put the issue starkly, inflation concerns have resurfaced after years of quiescence.”
Lipsky, a former Wall Street economist and periodic Republican advisor, fingers the commodity boom as the main inflation culprit. I have written that since last autumn, I have become worried about inflation for the first time in ten years. The CPI has increased by 4 percent over the past five months. And I will finger the run on the dollar as the chief inflation culprit.
Along with the Fed’s excessive interest rate cutting, the emergence of the U.S. peso is the biggest driver of rising commodities and inflation.
Dick Fisher of the Dallas Fed has suggested that the central bank’s target rate should have stopped at 3 percent, not 2 percent. I agree. And the weak dollar has forced world central banks into the over-creation of liquidity.
So again I come back to my theme of the need to restore King Dollar. The U.S. neglect of the dollar is causing global inflation and an unnecessary commodity-price boom -- especially oil, but also food prices. Oil has become a substitute for the cheap dollar. Of course, so has gold.
Speaking of gold, its rise in recent months has been corroborated by the spike in the CPI. A simple gold forecast model of future inflation has only missed by three-tenths of 1 percent over the past six years as the CPI has roughly doubled from 2 percent to 4 percent.
What’s ahead? The model predicts nearly 6 percent inflation in 2008 and 7.5 percent inflation in 2009 and 2010. After that, inflation falls back to 6.5 percent in 2011 and 5.5 percent in 2012.
The point is, the inflation outlook is worsening. Let me say again: We need to revive King Dollar. It’s gonna be a big election-year issue.
Sen. McCain, are you listening? Posted at 2:40 PM
Worse Than Homeless [Iain Murray]
Even the American homeless emit twice as much carbon dioxide as the world average, the wastrels. That's the finding of a new report from MIT: [T]he "floor" below which nobody in the U.S. can reach, no matter a person's energy choices, turned out to be 8.5 tons, the class found. That was the emissions calculated for a homeless person who ate in soup kitchens and slept in homeless shelters.
As our own Steve Hayward pointed out in his recent WSJ piece, to reduce American emissions by 80 percent by 2050 with a reasonable guess at population of 400 million, that would mean an individual emission limit of 2.5 tons. And you know what? Switching over to twisty lightbulbs and driving Priuses isn't likely to acheive that for the homeless... Posted at 1:47 PM
Perhaps the Greens are Right [Iain Murray]
Evidence that my book is indeed the work of the Devil. From the Amazon page a few moments ago: Amazon.com Sales Rank: #666 in Books Posted at 1:46 PM
Having a tough day? [David Freddoso]
At least you haven't been sentenced to federal prison through 2338. (The piece notes that this white-collar offender could be released by 2289 if he behaves himself.) Posted at 1:13 PM
Land of Enchantment [David Freddoso]
The only hard-and-fast rule we ever had at the Evans-Novak Political Report was never to predict a loss for Rep. Heather Wilson (R-N.M.). As I watched Republican fortunes fade in October 2006, I did it anyway -- and I got burned. Wilson and Rep. Steve Pearce (R) are battling it out in New Mexico in what is the only truly competitive GOP Senate primary of the year. Both hope to replace Sen. Pete Domenici (R), but either would face an uphill climb in preserving the seat for the GOP. Early voting started this week. Pearce is the conservative candidate, Wilson is decidedly more moderate, although not a liberal. Posted at 1:03 PM
The Worst That Could Happen [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
at Best Friends tomorrow: Bill Bennett might sing. Come if you can. Commercial over. Posted at 1:02 PM
McCain's Primary Shortfalls [Rick Brookhiser]
NB: In the 1980 cycle George H.W. Bush beat Ronald Reagan in Pennsylvania (April 22) and Michigan (May 20), both well after Reagan had sewn up the nomination. Reagan carried those states, and 42 others, in November. Posted at 12:57 PM
Mitt Romney for Veep [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 12:43 PM
Great Cham [John Derbyshire]
A reader supplies more Johnsoniana: Derb —
A few more Johnson quotes that could easily relate to the current campaign.
- Nature has given women so much power that the law has very wisely given them little.
- We are inclined to believe those whom we do not know because they have never deceived us.
- Language is the dress of thought; every time you talk your mind is on parade.
- Hope is itself a species of happiness, and perhaps, the chief happiness which this world affords.
- The natural flights of the human mind are not from pleasure to pleasure, but from hope to hope.
[Me] The trouble with old Sam is, he's too quotable. If you read him in early adulthood (in my case courtesy of Mona Wilson's excellent Harvard selection, which I got for pennies at a library clearance sale, and have somehow held on to for close to forty years -- may I have it buried with me, please?), and Boswell's Life, and Mrs Thrale's Anecdotes, then for the rest of your life pretty much anything brings a Johnson quote to mind. You have to keep swallowing them unless you want to become a Johnson bore. That man had a grasp on the human condition few have matched. There is, of course, an anti-Johnson school. Macaulay's essay, though affectionate overall, scored some hits; and don't ever praise Johnson in Roger Scruton's presence. I once did — see these scars. Posted at 12:24 PM
McCain & Hagee [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
is not Obama & Wright. David Reinhard does a good job here: T he requests, demands and suggestions started coming in after my first column on the relationship between the Rev. Jeremiah Wright Jr. and Barack Obama. They multiplied after the cool, collected candidate broke with his red-hot crackpot pastor, and I asked what took so long. Why did it take 20 years for him to denounce Wright's hate-filled, anti-American ravings? "I'd really like to read your take on the relationship between John McCain and Rev. John Hagee," read one of the more civil ones. This one is from the snarky variety: "So here's your big chance! I look forward to your next column, which will naturally" analyze "McCain's own embarrassingly hate-filled pastor." Happy to oblige. Let's start with an indisputable fact. Hagee is not McCain's pastor and never has been. Nor has the pastor of San Antonio's Cornerstone Church been McCain's mentor or spiritual adviser. Not for 20 years. Not for two seconds. Hagee's Texas address should be the giveaway here. It's tough to have a pastor-mentor-spiritual adviser who lives in Texas when you live in Washington, D.C., or Arizona. Except in the imaginings of folks who need McCain to have his very own Reverend Wright. Beyond all this, McCain didn't have his children baptized by Hagee. Or donate thousands of dollars to Hagee's church. Or name Hagee to a prominent position in his campaign. In sum, McCain did none of the things that would make for an apples-to-apples comparison to the Obama-Wright connection. Is there any kind of McCain-Hagee "relationship"? Well, the Texas evangelical did endorse McCain, and McCain did seek his endorsement. Is this a "relationship"? If so, does it say anything about McCain? The answer to both questions: No. Posted at 12:18 PM
Re: Iran News Roundup [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 12:07 PM
When it rains, it pours [David Freddoso]
I used to work in the Brooklyn portion of Rep. Vito Fossella's (R-N.Y.) district. Everyone in Bay Ridge loved him back then, even the liberals. He was the nice Italian boy with the pretty Irish wife. It's been very sad to watch the man's life fall apart gradually since then, and now quite suddenly this week. Based on his statement, I really think he's run his last race for Congress, although he has much bigger things to deal with than that. Posted at 11:58 AM
Dance With Me -- An Invite for "Corner" Readers [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
If you're in D.C. tomorrow and are game for a night out of great fun for a lifesaving cause, consider the Best Friends Foundation's 20th Anniversary gala. Best Friends is Elayne (Mrs. Bill) Bennett's ministry of hope to schoolkids. With a little love, high expectations, and fun, Best Friends simply changes lives of children who might otherwise fall victim to the soft bigotry of low expectations that remains a fact in many schools and communities of, frankly, all races and income ranges. The celebration tomorrow night will have the Bennett family's great taste in music on display (you know a little about this if you listen to Bill's Morning in America): Entertainment includes the Drifters, Marilyn McCoo & Billy David Jr., and Chuck Brown. When I say fun, I mean fun. There are a lot of dinners in D.C. every night. There will be a lot this spring. But there will be none like BFF tomorrow night. See you there? The dinner is a fun raiser, but also a (pricey) fundraiser. But Best Friends is offering a special rate for Corner readers: $250 per ticket, with about half of the ticket cost tax deductible. Further details for ticket ordering here. Just mention K-Lo at National Review Online sent you for the discount.
Posted at 11:47 AM
The Limbaugh Effect [Ramesh Ponnuru]
Operation Chaos is the topic of my WaPo discussion group today. Exult, denounce, or split the difference. Posted at 11:47 AM
Bush v. Gore [Ramesh Ponnuru]
David Bernstein and his commenters are debating it, or at least debating the debate about it, over at volokh.com. Posted at 11:46 AM
Disaffected Republicans? [Andrew Stuttaford]
Regular readers of the Corner will know that I'm far from being a McCainiac (although I have not a moment of doubt that he is now the best candidate for president this November), nevertheless, a glance back to 2000 helps put some of the current chatter about GOP disaffection with its candidate into some sort of perspective. A reader kindly pointed me to this useful site showing GOP primary results from 2000. As you may remember, John McCain had withdrawn from the race in March that year, leaving Bush the presumptive nominee. Under the circumstances, these results from some of the later primaries caught my eye, and in particular: Indiana (May 2) : Bush 81.1% (vs McCain's 77% in 2008) Nebraska (May 9) : Bush 78% West Virginia (May 9): Bush 79.5% Idaho (May 23) : Bush 73% (19% Keyes!) New Jersey (June 6): Bush: 84% (!6% Keyes!) South Dakota (June 6) : Bush 78%
There's no doubt that McCain has more of a problem with some elements of the GOP base than did George W. Bush, but let's not overstate it. As to what McCain should be doing to attract independents and Democrats (as he must), while at the same time being a candidate who enthuses most of a broadly-defined 'right', that's a fascinating question (and one rightly raised by Mark), but it's the topic of another post.
Posted at 11:35 AM
Around the Web: 2008 [Katherine Connell] Posted at 11:03 AM
The Real Human-Caused Tragedy in Burma [Iain Murray]
My friend Joe Loconte has a great column up at the Weekly Standard today on the U.N.'s complicity in the Burmese regime's contribution to the disaster following the cyclone there. He concludes: The cyclone that has laid waste to much of Burma, then, is not only a natural disaster. It is a calamity partly of human design--the result of deliberate moral ambiguity and quiet complicity with terror. Such problems will linger long after the relief organizations have completed their work.
Sadly, thanks to the disgusting opportunism of that blowhard Al Gore, people will think that the human design in this tragedy was mankind's contribution to global warming. He was weaselly enough to admit that we can't blame any one storm on global warming, but still the impression he left -- and presumably meant to give -- was that 100,000 people would be alive now if we didn't use fossil fuels. The fact is (and I will post the full list on Planet Gore), of the 20 deadliest cyclones ever seen in the Indian Ocean, 19 of them happened before the purported onset of anthropogenic global warming. On a related point, I recommend Roger Pielke Jr's recent posts on how everything seems to be "consistent with" global warming predictions. This is sophistry, and it needs to be called out. Posted at 10:39 AM
Who Gives? [Jonah Goldberg]
Michael Franc has an interesting piece on the demographics of contributors to the two parties. A big excerpt: Through May 1, the Democratic presidential field has suctioned up a cool $5.7 million from the more than 4,000 donors who list their occupation as “CEO.” The Republicans’ take was only $2.3 million. Chief financial officers, general counsels, directors, and chief information officers also break the Democrats’ way by more than two-to-one margins. The Democrats’ advantage among “presidents” is a less dramatic but still significant $7.2 million to $6.1 million. And this isn’t new: In 2004 all but one of these categories of top corporate officers broke just as dramatically for the Democrats, the “presidents” being the exception.
Republicans do somewhat better further down the corporate food chain, but still lose the competition for contributions from executive vice presidents, vice presidents, and managers.
Wall Street firms, long a symbol of American elite accomplishment, also tilt decisively toward the Democrats. Employees in storied Wall Street institutions such as Lehman Brothers, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley have all favored the Democratic field by a large margin. Even both sides of the recent Bear Stearns/JP Morgan Chase deal choose Democratic candidates over Republicans by two-to-one margins.
Democrats also enjoy enormous fundraising advantages among well-educated professionals — lawyers, teachers, accountants, journalists and writers. They carry practitioners of the hard sciences, winning solidly among physicians ($8 million to $4 million), biologists, chemists, physicists, and plain old scientists. Republicans must settle for a slender advantage among rocket scientists.
Not surprisingly, universities offer Democrats a hotbed of support. Professors favor Democrats over Republicans by a nine-to-one margin ($3.7 million to $430,000). Their students, though presumably struggling with sky-high tuition bills, nevertheless sacrificed enough late-night pizza and chips to send $4.1 million to their professors’ favorite candidates and another $1.4 million to the GOP. The “objective” media — reporters, journalists, publishers and editors — also breaks heavily for the Democrats. But no listed occupation gives the Democrats a greater edge than the unemployed. These presumably idle folks have dropped over $14.6 million into the laps of the Democrats. Their idle Republican neighbors, in contrast, have unburdened themselves of a mere $9,775. Go figure.
Who favors the Republicans? The Democratic field, after all, enjoys an overall fundraising edge in excess of $200 million, so any pocket of Republican strength is noteworthy.
In this upside-down campaign season when populist GOP campaigners like John McCain and Mike Huckabee surprised the pundits with their primary victories or, in the case of Ron Paul, their fundraising prowess, it almost makes sense that the party of the country club set has been winning the fundraising race among the common man. That’s right. The white-shirt/red-tie brigade of Republican presidential aspirants holds a nearly three-to-one edge among janitors, custodians, cleaners, sanitation workers, factory workers, truckers, bus drivers, barbers, security guards, and secretaries. While Democrats command the financial loyalty of architects, Republicans successfully woo contributions from the skilled craftsmen who turn their blueprints into reality — specifically, contractors, hardhats, plumbers, stonemasons, electricians, carpenters mechanics, and roofers. This trend extends to the saloons, where the Democrats carry the bartenders and the Republicans the waitresses. The GOP field even secures more financial support from teamsters, steelworkers, bricklayers, and autoworkers.
Ross Douthat, not surprisingly, finds all of this very telling, and I don't disagree with him. But here's one point I think neither Ross nor Michael give enough consideration: The Democrats are in power in Congress and most people are betting they take the White House in '08 and expand their control of Congress. In other words, at least some of this support has less to do with ideology and more to do with good old fashioned rent-seeking and favor-seeking by opportunistic business leaders and professionals. I don't necessarily dispute many of the demographic and ideological trends Franc and Douthat are illuminating, but I don't think the picture is quite that clear, at least by the light of these data. Posted at 10:25 AM
California Events [Jonah Goldberg]
Hey folks, I'm at my undisclosed location in Central America, but I never gave final details for my May 13 trip to Pasadena. I will be speaking at noon, Tuesday May 13, at Pasadena City College. I will be speaking in the Forum (whatever that is). After the talk, there will be a book signing. Then, on May 20, I'll be speaking at the Heritage-UCLA First Principles and Public Policy extravaganza. This costs money to attend, but you get a lot more than just a speech from me.
Posted at 9:56 AM
A Voice of Conservative Skepticism [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
"Maybe it won't be Hillary Clinton ..." -- Laura Ingraham, talking about potential McCain vice presidents, on her show this morning. Posted at 9:55 AM
Iran News Round Up [Michael Rubin]
(Thanks to Ali Alfoneh for his compilation) Military and Security - General Ja'fari, Commander in chief of the Revolutionary Guards, says the threat against Iran is not only military, but also cultural.
- Acting minister of interior Pour-Mohammadi says (audio file) the explosion at the Hosseiniyeh of Shiraz which left 12 dead and 200 wounded was an act of "sabotage," and the minister of intelligence says the perpetrators of the bombing have been arrested.
- The Security Council, chaired by the minister of interior, had earlier said the explosion had been due to exhibition of explosives commemorating the Iran/Iraq war.
- The Interior Minister blames "The enemies of the great Iranian nation, who [act] in the name of monarchism and with support from countries who claim they support human rights, the rights of nations and wage war against terror."
- The minister of intelligence on the other hand says the terrorist group behind this act has "relations with America and England, and the Foreign Minister earlier protested against them, but no attempt was made to stop their terrorist acts, and on the contrary, they [the terrorists] enjoyed more support."
- According to Entekhab News Agency, the latest findings with regard to the bombing in Shiraz increase the possibility of the dismissal of the governor of Shiraz, who has earlier firmly claimed there has never been a bombing in the city.
- Abdol-Majid Moadi-Khah discusses the early revolutionary terrorist organization Forghan [Furqan].
- Deputy commander of Popular Formations for Amr-e be Ma'rouf va Nahy az Monker [the morals police] in Isfahan province says one of the major schemes of this institution is tazzakkor-e lesani [oral warning] against patients in the waiting rooms of doctors. According to Seyyed Mohsen Mortazavi, the morals police are organized in the neighborhood mosques and the squad is formed by members of the Basij of the mosque, the Friday prayers leader of the mosque, and the local area police station.
#more#Politics Religion, Culture, and Society - Deputy head of the Literacy Movement, Ebrahimian says "28 million people among the country's population are illiterate."
- Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking in Shiraz, praises the Shi'ite mausoleums in the city and the pre Islamic archeological ruins, but stresses that it is in the post-Islamic art in which the talent of Iranians blossom.
- Agah-Sazi and Alef news agencies twist the Supreme Leader's words to praise Persepolis in their headlines, as does the Fars News Agency.
- Same is the case with Fars News Agency.
- Reformist Participation Front arranges a meeting praising imprisoned religious innovator Hadi Qabel.
- Members of the Iranian parliament deliver a note of warning to the minister of Culture and Islamic guidance because of Kayhan's polemics against Grand Ayatollah Sane'i.
- An unnamed official from the ministry of education says private schools in Iran teach "deviant beliefs such as the culture of Bahaism, beliefs of groups critical to the regime, and also false Sufism."
- Tabnak News Agency ,close to former commander in chief of the Revolutionary Guards Mohsen Rezai, quotes an article from Tehran Mossavvar claiming the founder of the Pahlavi dynasty, Reza Shah, was disturbed by "the activities of the Bahai's," and adds "unlike his son."
- A Chinese citizen converts to Islam in Arak.
Diplomacy - Iranian Jews condemn Israel’s anniversary.
- Chairman of the Expediency Council, Ayatollah Ali-Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani says Iran is ready to raise the trust of the international community.
- Former president Khatami retracts his words on differences between Khomeini and current supreme Khamenei's different methods of "exporting the revolution," and says Khamenei’s current policies are continuation of Khomeini’s.
- Khatami says that he supports the foreign policy of Iran throughout the entire existence of the Islamic Republic, does not believe Iran has intervened in the internal affairs of other countries, but is also proud of the fact that the Constitution of the Islamic Republic enables Iran to intervene in the internal affairs of other stays as long as its interference is an act of support for the downtrodden and the meek.
- Hojjat al-Eslam Hossein Mousavi Tabrizi, chairman of the Professors and Scholars at the Elmiyyeh Theological Seminary in Qom, says Khatami's claim that Khomeini never intended to export the revolution by violent means is very true.
- Hojjat al-Eslam Reza Ashtiyani, member of the Cultural Affairs Committee of the Iranian parliament, says the enemy has been strengthened in her claims regarding Iranian intervention in Iraq as a result of Khatami’s speech.
- Foreign Ministry spokesman Hosseini strongly condemns the British court's ruling on the Mojahedin-e Khalq Organization.
- Egyptian foreign minister says Egypt will dispatch a diplomatic delegation to Iraq to investigate claims of Iranian breach of territorial integrity of Iraq.
- Iraqi ambassador to the United Nations: "Is at all possible that the Iranian leadership is unaware of weapons export from Iran to Iraq?"
- A group of members of the Iranian parliament demands Tehran Municipality withdraw its donation for reconstruction of Beirut.
- Hosseinian, spokesman of the foreign ministry, demands Iraq change her rhetoric on the three disputed islands of the Persian Gulf. More. In English.
- According to Jahan News, 15 Iranian citizens have been arrested in Japan, charged with belonging to a narcotic distribution gang.
- Jonathan Beth Kelia, representative of the Assyrian Christian community in the Iranian parliament, says "the Zionist regime has reached the final days of its life."
- Fars News Agency claims State Department official warns Bush administration against consequences of striking Iran.
Nuclear Issue - The Islamic Republic of Iran reveals her own "incentive package" in the nuclear dispute.
- Hadi Hagh-Shenas, member of the Line of the Imam faction in the Iranian parliament, says "if we want nuclear energy we also have to be ready to pay the price..."
Human Rights and Labor Trade - Iran's chambers of commerce urge the authorities to reduce risks for investment in Iran.
- The Islamic Republic petroleum minister: "$200 per barrel oil is not out of reach."
- Ahmadinejad, meeting the Turkish minister of trade: "Through cooperation, Iran and Turkey could become economic giants."
- Minister of Trade defends the policies of the Ahmadinejad government in the face of vote of no confidence in the parliament.
- Trade Minister fighting for his political life: "There is no such a thing as a mafia which pushes the prices up...Let's calm down the atmosphere, just like the Supreme Leader's advise not to beat on the drums of conflict...The rising food prices has to do with world market prices which started last year, and today we experiencing it."
Economy Media Photo of the Day Posted at 9:51 AM
I'm So Ronery [John Derbyshire]
From a Sports Illustrated article on Japanese baseball sensation Kosuke Fukudome, who plays for the Chicago Cubs: [Fukudome] has also spawned a cottage industry outside the ballpark, where you can buy bandanas with Fukudome's name spelled in Japanese characters or T-shirts with shout-outs such as FUKUDOME IS MY HOMIE. (The Cubs, though, did have to pull one unlicensed T-shirt from the outdoor marketplace because it featured their bear logo with slanted eyes and Harry Caray glasses, over the words HORRY KOW.) Reminds me of this. Posted at 9:45 AM
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