Wednesday, May 07, 2008

McCain's Challenge   [Andrew Stuttaford]

Mark, let's look at the numbers. According to this recent survey (WSJ/NBC) 27% of voters nationwide have a positive view of the Republican party. For the sake of argument, let's call that the Republican base. If, as you note, an average of 25% of those who voted in the North Carolina and Indiana GOP primaries voted against McCain and if you assume that these voters are a representative sample of that Republican base (I'm not convinced), then those numbers can be extrapolated nationally into a towering 6.75% of the electorate. Given the choice of appealing to the massed ranks of Paul, Huckabee and Keyes dead-enders or to independents (and even those Democrats who might not yet be ready for Obama's "Kingdom on Earth"), McCain's electoral math is, I think, clear. The question, of course, is how he should appeal to those voters.

05/07 01:01 PMShare