Tuesday, October 31, 2006

FWIW [Kathryn Jean Lopez]
A source on a call for business types with Karl Rove a little earlier today reports that Rove is
talking about GOP turnout…"at or close to 2004 levels." He went through an avalanche of detailed metrics to back up this claim.
Rove also said KY and IN are crucial for us given that the polls there close an hour earlier than other states and will serve as bellweather for the GOP. He is also concerned about media calling these races early based on exit polls, which could impact turnout elsewhere.
On the state of polling, he believes that they have become less accurate over time, given the increased use of cell phones (instead of land lines), caller I.D., and the Do Not Call list.
Listener describes Rove has relaying a “supreme confidence” that Republicans will retain control of both Houses.
10/31 04:51 PM
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