Monday, October 01, 2007

Giuliani's Lead   [Byron York]

I don't think we've mentioned a new Gallup poll that shows how the Republican presidential candidates are doing among the various subgroups in the party.  The poll shows Giuliani leading among virtually every group, including some, like regular church attendees and married women, who have been key markers in the past.  So here it is:

Among Republicans who call themselves conservatives, Giuliani leads with 30 percent, with Thompson at 23, McCain at 15, and Romney at 10.  Among Republicans who called themselves moderates or liberals, Giuliani leads with 38 percent, over Thompson with 17, McCain with 16, and Romney with 9.

Among Republicans who say they attend church weekly, Giuliani leads with 27 percent, with Thompson at 24, McCain at 17, and Romney at 9.  Among Republicans who attend monthly, Giuliani leads with 33 percent, to Thompson's 18, McCain's 16, and Romney's 14.  And among those who seldom or never attend church, Giuliani leads with 39 over Thompson with 20, McCain with 13 and Romney with 8.

Gallup also found Giuliani leading among Protestant and Catholic Republicans.  Among Protestants, he scored 28, with Thompson at 23, McCain at 17, and Romney at 8.  Among Catholics, Giuliani has a big lead, 44 percent, with Thompson at 18, McCain at 13 and Romney at 13.

Giuliani leads among men with 31 percent, to Thompson's 25, McCain's 13, and Romney's 10.  Among women, it's Giuliani with 34, to McCain's 17, Thompson's 16, and Romney's 10.  Among married men, Giuliani is tied with Thompson at 28 percent, with McCain and Romney tied at 11 percent.  And among married women, it's Giuliani with 36 percent, with Thompson and McCain at 17 percent, and Romney at 10.

Broken down regionally, Giuliani leads in the Northeast, with 43 percent, to McCain's 14, Thompson's 14, and Romney's 13.  In the Midwest, it's Giuliani with 34 percent, Thompson with 17, McCain with 16, and Romney 9.  In the South, Giuliani is tied with Thompson, at 28 each, with McCain at 12 and Romney at 6.  And in the West, it's Giuliani with 28, McCain with 19, Thompson with 28, and Romney with 14.

10/01 09:02 AMShare