Friday, February 02, 2007

Frontrunner Numbers   [Rich Lowry]

I think this new Fox poll is interesting. Hillary Clinton has the kind of lead you would expect of a frontrunner at this point in a national poll. She's at 43%, Obama 15%, Edwards 12%. John McCain, on the other, has a very strange status for a front-runner (and I do think he's the frontrunner). He's in second place by double digits and only leads by five points a guy everyone thinks probably can't win. It's Giuliani 34%, McCain 22%, Gingrich 15%. Now, if you're a McCain person you look at those numbers and say, “Rudy's not going to hold that kind of support, and his people will come to us, and Newt might not run and even if he does it means a balkanized field that benefits us.” All that might end up being true, but there's definitely a softness in McCain's position at the moment. (UPDATE: Error in math corrected.)

02/02 04:08 PMShare