Monday, December 10, 2007

Giuliani on Top   [Ramesh Ponnuru]

His polls may have dropped, but I think he's in better shape to win the nomination than he was when the polls were better for him. The best chance to beat him was for one other candidate to win a bunch of early states before the Jan. 29 and Feb. 5 primaries, where he is doing very well. His support might fall in those states if a strong candidate emerges from those earlier primaries. But a mixed result in those early states—say two or three different candidates win in them—will leave his support in the later states intact, I think. And Huckabee's surge in Iowa makes it much less likely that anyone is going to dominate those early primaries. Advantage Rudy.

12/10 12:18 PMShare