Monday, January 14, 2008

Let It Snow   [John J. Miller]

It's supposed to snow all over Michigan tomorrow. Not a major storm—just accumulations of a couple of inches. But it may be good for Romney: He's doing better among people who already have sent in absentee ballots than among late deciders, who may be breaking for McCain. Also, his stronghold is the metro Detroit area; in Grand Rapids and other outstate areas, where the weather often is more severe and the areas more rural, McCain and Huckabee do well. Finally, Michigan has an open primary, meaning that McCain could benefit from Democrats who cross over—but in crummy weather, only the most motivated Democrats will turn out.

In 1990, bad weather helped elect John Engler as governor—he was an upset winner, and almost certainly benefited from a low turnout.

01/14 11:23 AMShare